Why You Will Always Get a Settlement Offer from a Gambling Operator for Harmful Gambling Losses (“QWAK QWAK” no it’s not a duck)

Settlement offers are nearly guaranteed when pursuing claims for gambling-related harm. The reason lies in the financial calculus of litigation costs. Gambling operators aim to minimise their financial risks, and offering settlements is one of the most effective tools to achieve this. By carefully calculating potential outcomes, they can manage costs while avoiding protracted litigation.

This article outlines the four possible outcomes for a gambling-related harm claim and explains how operators decide on settlement offers based on the cost and likelihood of success. We’ll break down each scenario and provide simple equations to show how these decisions are made. QWAK QWAK.

Achieving a successful settlement is all about mastering the cost game. With GamClaim.org, you can consistently outmanoeuvre gambling operators on costs – every single time.

To enhance clarity, this article has been written without unnecessary legal jargon and is tailored for general understanding. The amounts and figures provided are illustrative and should not be taken at face value. Their purpose is to help explain the complexities involved in calculating settlement figures, rather than to serve as exact or definitive values. This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute legal advice.

The Four Possible Outcomes in Gambling-Related Harm Claims

1. Claim Fails, No Settlement Offer Made

Situation:

The claim is unsuccessful, and the operator does not offer a settlement. In this case, the operator bears all their legal costs with no contribution from the claimant.

Equations:

  1. Legal Costs:

C = total legal costs incurred by the operator

  1. Loss to the Operator:

Loss = C

Example:

If the operator’s legal costs are C = £5,000, their total loss is:

Loss = £5,000

Analysis:

Without a settlement offer, the operator absorbs the full cost of defending the claim. This is rarely a preferred approach because it offers no financial protection, even when the claim fails.


2. Claim Fails, Settlement Offer Made

Situation:

The claim is unsuccessful, but the operator makes a settlement offer. If the claimant rejects the offer and the claim fails, the operator recovers some of their legal costs, reducing their overall loss.

Equations:

  1. Loss if Offer Accepted:

Paccept = S + Cincurred up to settlement

Where S is the settlement offer, and Cincurred up to settlement​ represents the partial legal costs incurred before the settlement.

  1. Loss if Offer Rejected:

Preject = C − S

Here, S reduces the operator’s total legal costs.

  1. Expected Loss:

Pexpected​ = Preject​ x Preject​ + (1−Preject​) x Paccept

Where Preject​ is the likelihood of the claimant rejecting the offer.

Example:

  • Legal Costs: C = £5,000
  • Settlement Offer: S = £2,000
  • Costs Incurred Pre-settlement: Cincurred up to settlement = £1,000
  • Probability of Rejection: Preject = 0.4

If the offer is accepted:

Paccept​ = S + Cincurred up to settlement​ = £2,000 + £1,000 = £3,000

If the offer is rejected:

Preject = C − S = £5,000 − £2,000 = £3,000

Expected Loss:

Pexpected​ = (0.4 x 3000) + (0.6 x 3000) = £3,000

Analysis:

The operator mitigates their risk by offering a settlement. Even if rejected, they recover part of their costs, reducing their total loss.


3. Claim Succeeds, Award Below Settlement Offer

Situation:

The claim is successful, but the damages awarded to the claimant are less than the operator’s settlement offer. The operator can recover part of their legal costs, offsetting the financial impact.

Equations:

  1. Recoverable Costs:

R = min(C,damages awarded)

  1. Loss to the Operator:

Psuccess​ = C − R

Example:

  • Legal Costs: C = £5,000
  • Damages Awarded: damages awarded = £3,000

Recoverable Costs:

R = min(C,damages awarded) = £3,000

Loss:

Psuccess​ = C − R = £5,000 − £3,000 = £2,000

Analysis:

The operator recovers a portion of their legal costs, limiting their loss. This outcome highlights the importance of making a settlement offer high enough to deter litigation but low enough to preserve cost recovery.


4. Claim Succeeds, Award Above Settlement Offer

Situation:

The claim succeeds, and damages awarded exceed the operator’s settlement offer. The operator cannot recover any of their legal costs.

Equations:

  1. Total Loss: Loss = C + damages awarded

Example:

  • Legal Costs: C = £5,000
  • Damages Awarded: damages awarded = £8,000

Total Loss:

Loss = C + damages awarded = £5,000 + £8,000 = £13,000

Analysis:

This is the worst-case scenario for the operator. It demonstrates why operators are motivated to make realistic settlement offers to avoid excessive financial exposure.


Why Operators Make Settlement Offers

1. Minimising Costs

By offering settlements, operators reduce their risk of paying higher costs if the claim succeeds or fails without a settlement. It’s a calculated move to control costs.

2. Discouraging Prolonged Litigation

Settlement offers incentivise claimants to resolve cases quickly, avoiding lengthy litigation that can drive up costs for both sides.

3. Preserving Reputation

Operators often prefer settling to avoid the publicity of a trial, which can damage their brand and invite further claims.

4. Strategic Calculations

Operators use financial modelling, balancing potential costs, and outcomes, to determine offers that minimise their overall losses.


Optimal Settlement Table

The following table demonstrates how settlement amounts are calculated based on the operator’s defence costs and the probability of the claimant accepting the offer.

How to Read the Table:

  • Defence Costs (£): The estimated total cost to the operator if the claim proceeds to trial.
  • Optimal Settlement (£): The amount the operator should offer to minimise their expected loss, considering the balance between incentivising the claimant and protecting their financial position.
  • The amounts shown are in relation to direct costs (actual costs incurred). In many cases the operator will settle for amounts higher than the Optimal Settlement values shown below due to the Time Cost element (internal employee resource drain) etc…
Defence Costs (£)Optimal Settlement (£)Expected Loss (£)
2,0001,5001,400
3,0002,0001,800
4,0002,5002,300
5,0003,0002,700
6,0003,5003,200

Key Takeaways

Preparation is Power
Armed with this knowledge, you’ll be better equipped to navigate negotiations and understand the rationale behind settlement offers, putting you in the best position to secure a favourable outcome.

Settlement Offers are Strategic
Operators calculate settlement amounts by balancing their legal costs against the likelihood of the claimant accepting the offer. Even when confident the claim will fail, they often make offers to avoid incurring the full cost of litigation.

How Claimants Can Leverage This
Understanding how operators calculate their offers gives claimants an edge. For example, knowing that operators aim to cap their costs means claimants can negotiate higher settlements by demonstrating the strength of their case.

Why GamClaim.org Helps You Win
By using GamClaim.org, you can ensure the gambling operator is under constant pressure to minimise their costs. This levels the playing field and gives you the upper hand in achieving a fair settlement.

Legal Strategies for Increasing Defence Costs as a Litigant in Person

When bringing a claim against a gambling operator, increasing their defence costs can shift the dynamics in your favour. Operators rely heavily on their legal teams, typically located in major cities such as London, and their costs can quickly escalate depending on the specifics of the case. While the value of your claim is fixed, the cost of defending it is not—and this variability is where claimants can create financial pressure on the operator.


The Cost of Defence vs Claim Value

The cost of defending a claim is not directly tied to the amount claimed. Operators incur legal costs based on the complexity and specifics of the case, meaning that:

  1. A £5,000 claim may cost the same to defend as a £10,000 claim if both involve similar evidence and procedural requirements.
  2. A £3,000 claim might cost more to defend than a £5,000 claim if the former raises complex legal arguments or requires additional expert evidence.

By understanding how defence costs escalate, claimants can recognise the levers that increase pressure on operators to settle.


Practical Factors That Drive Up Defence Costs

1. Reply to Defence and Procedural Requirements

  • Filing a Reply to Defence requires the operator to respond to additional points raised in your claim. Even if the arguments are procedural or technical, their legal team must allocate time and resources to review your reply, address inconsistencies, and prepare additional evidence.
  • Operators often incur costs for barristers or solicitors to manage these steps, particularly for claims where procedural clarity is required.

2. Court Venue Selection

  • The location of the court significantly affects operator costs. Operators often rely on legal teams based in major cities like London, where their corporate offices are typically located. However, if the case is heard in a court further away, the operator must bear the additional travel costs for its legal team.
  • For example, a regional court in a more remote area increases logistical challenges for the operator, driving up costs related to travel, preparation time, and accommodations for their legal representatives.

3. Requests for Disclosure

  • Requests for detailed disclosure of documents can force operators to spend additional time gathering internal records, reviewing them for confidentiality, and submitting them to the court.
  • For example, asking for customer interaction logs, responsible gambling policies, or internal communications related to your account compels the operator to allocate significant resources to comply with these requests.

4. Medical Evidence

  • If your claim involves psychiatric harm or other injuries, requiring the operator to obtain or respond to medical evidence adds to their defence costs. The operator may need to instruct medical experts to prepare reports, address contested findings, or rebut your evidence.
  • Operators often incur costs for additional assessments, expert reports, or court appearances by their experts, especially if complex medical conditions are involved.

5. Case Duration and Procedural Applications

  • Extending the duration of the case increases the operator’s cumulative legal costs. Procedural applications, such as amending particulars of claim or adding supplementary evidence, require the operator to respond with additional legal submissions, lengthening the case timeline.
  • Longer cases often result in higher barrister fees, especially if multiple hearings or procedural applications are necessary.

Why Defence Costs Matter to Operators

  1. Cost Control is a Key Priority: Operators aim to keep legal costs predictable and proportional to the claim value. Increasing their costs undermines this strategy, making the claim more expensive to defend than to settle.
  2. Pressure to Settle: As defence costs rise, the operator’s incentive to settle increases. Settling becomes a more attractive option compared to absorbing significant legal fees.
  3. Balancing Resources: Operators have to manage multiple claims simultaneously, and escalating costs on one claim affects their ability to allocate resources efficiently across others.

Conclusion: Defence Costs as a Strategic Factor

While claimants cannot directly control an operator’s legal spending, understanding the factors that increase defence costs highlights how litigation becomes more expensive for operators. By requiring responses to procedural filings, choosing court venues that add logistical challenges, and compelling additional evidence, claimants indirectly pressure operators to prioritise settlement as the most cost-effective resolution.

Ultimately, these cost dynamics reinforce why operators often prefer settlement offers – they cap financial risks and minimise uncertainty in an unpredictable claims process.

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